Print the page
Increase font size
The Next Buyout Frenzy Is Imminent

Posted November 03, 2023

Zach Scheidt

By Zach Scheidt

The Next Buyout Frenzy Is Imminent

This week I had the chance to talk about one of my favorite topics… buyouts!

My colleague James Altucher and I sat down on Wednesday to record our monthly live call for James Altucher's Buyout Trader.

On the call, I shared why I believe we’re approaching a turning point in the market for buyouts.

Below you can watch a clip from our call where I explain what could drive a flurry of buyout activity over the next several weeks. 

Click here to learn more

Video Transcript: 

Looking at the current state of buyouts, the main thing to realize is that there are companies that do have a lot of cash, and these companies are seeing opportunities in the market right now.

In some cases, it actually helps for a stock to trade lower before a buyout takes place because it gives the buyer more incentive to pull the trigger and make the buyout.

To make a comparison, it reminds me of the first time I bought a car. I was fresh out of college and barely had any money, but I had saved up enough for a used car. 

I looked online and found a Honda Civic that was being offered for $1,200 or so. The seller was an 18-year-old looking to sell the car so his dad could buy him something better.

After test-driving the car, I told him, “Hey, I like the car. But I don’t want to spend that much on it. What’s the lowest amount you’re willing to accept for it?”

He told me, “Well, I’d take $800 for it, but I’d really like to sell it for more than that.”

So I said, “Okay, I’ve got $800 right now that I’ll give you for the car.”

He looked panicked and said, “Oh, no no no no no… I’d like to get more, but that’s just the lowest I’d go.”

Suffice it to say that I walked away with the car and only spent the $800 from my first offer. 

Now this may sound like a silly comparison, but this story is relevant to buyout deals in the market today.

Over at James Altucher's Buyout Trader, we identify companies that look like prime buyout candidates. 

With the right investment timed just before news of a major acquisition, these buyout trades can lead to massive gains overnight.

It’s not unusual for these potential buyout targets to trade lower, especially in such a volatile market. And this is certainly disappointing to see. 

However, a lower stock price gives buyers more incentive to write a check and trigger a buyout, which always happens above the market price. 

In other words, I hate to see our buyout targets trading lower. But it means a company like Microsoft or Alphabet can afford to offer a 50% premium on the buyout. 

And this could finally lead to a buyout deal, resulting in a big jump in the stock once the announcement goes public.

One other thing that’s important to note from the broad market perspective is that interest rates have been rising. And higher interest rates naturally drive the prices of growth stocks lower. 

We don’t need to get into all of the mathematical reasons why this happens. But we don’t need to get too far into the weeds here.

Just understand that high interest rates put pressure on growth stocks in particular. 

The Federal Reserve has recently paused two times in a row, which means we’re starting to see rates peak before rolling back over. 

Once that rollover starts to happen, that’s when I believe there will be more pressure on large companies to pull the trigger on buyouts.

Because if they don’t, they risk having to pay more for an acquisition once the stock prices rebound. Remember, a buyout will always happen above the current market price of a stock.

Bottom line, I believe we’re approaching a turning point for buyout activity in the market. 

Over the next several weeks as we see interest rates level out and potentially trade lower, we should see an uptick in buyout activity.

How Others’ Incompetence Costs You Big-Time

How Others’ Incompetence Costs You Big-Time

Posted January 17, 2024

By Byron King

The overall societal decline in skills is a growing problem that’s becoming much more serious, and it can cost us all a lot of money.
Turning Empty Cubicles Into Houses

Turning Empty Cubicles Into Houses

Posted January 15, 2024

By Zach Scheidt

Right now we're on the cusp of the next big transition, one that will reshape cities across the country.
"Boring AI": Overlooked Opportunity From CES 2024

"Boring AI": Overlooked Opportunity From CES 2024

Posted January 12, 2024

By Zach Scheidt

Reporting to You Live From Las Vegas
5 Must-See Predictions

5 Must-See Predictions

Posted January 10, 2024

By James Altucher

James Altucher shares five of his biggest predictions for 2024 and why he believes cryptocurrencies are still the future of money.
Welcome to Earth, the Mining Planet

Welcome to Earth, the Mining Planet

Posted January 08, 2024

By Byron King

In the next 25 years, mankind will have to produce the same amount of copper as humanity has dug from the earth in the past 5,000 years.
All Sizzle, No Steak: On the Hunt for Profitable Tech

All Sizzle, No Steak: On the Hunt for Profitable Tech

Posted January 05, 2024

By Zach Scheidt

The Consumer Electronics Show will showcase some of the most exciting trends in technology. But beware of the companies that are "all sizzle, no steak."